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Ryan Gibson

Ryan Gibson

Quantitative Analyst | Computer Scientist

Recent

Converting Between Fat-Tailed Distributions
Statistics Fat-Tailed Modeling Distribution-Fitting
A set of rules of thumb that I’ve fit to convert between the most popular fat-tailed distributions.
Injected Approval: A Low Effort Local LLM Jailbreak
Large-Language-Models Jailbreaking Cybersecurity
A quick look into into one of the simplest attacks on LLM safety mitigations, revealing large gaps in current approaches from major tech companies.
Modeling Stock Market Corrections Over 150 Years
Data-Analysis Data-Exploration Fat-Tailed Stochastic-Modeling Modeling Investing
How fast does the stock market correct back to long-term trends? Let’s fit a fat-tailed, skewed stochastic model to find out.
Leaderboard of Open LLMs Ranked by LLM Judges
Machine-Learning Large-Language-Models Leaderboard Evaluation
An evaluation of recent consumer-grade open LLMs based on ratings generated through an LLM-as-a-judge framework.
How to Run LLMs Larger than RAM
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Machine-Learning Large-Language-Models Linux
A short experiment on running larger LLMs on low-end consumer hardware, with comments on performance trade-offs and practicality.
How Risky is a Correlated Hedge?
Investing Hedging Correlation Risk-Management Statistics
A brief analysis of how much risk you can reduce by hedging with correlated assets. Even in a perfect world, a 90% correlation limits risk reduction to about 50%.