Posts

A straightforward derivation of the famous option pricing formula using only basic probability and statistics. No stochastic calculus required!

A set of rules of thumb that I’ve fit to convert between the most popular fat-tailed distributions.

A quick look into into one of the simplest attacks on LLM safety mitigations, revealing large gaps in current approaches from major tech companies.

How fast does the stock market correct back to long-term trends? Let’s fit a fat-tailed, skewed stochastic model to find out.

An evaluation of recent consumer-grade open LLMs based on ratings generated through an LLM-as-a-judge framework.

A short experiment on running larger LLMs on low-end consumer hardware, with comments on performance trade-offs and practicality.

A brief analysis of how much risk you can reduce by hedging with correlated assets. Even in a perfect world, a 90% correlation limits risk reduction to about 50%.

A discussion of an odd bug in T-Mobile’s systems, resolved only after filing an FCC complaint. This post details my experience, the support timeline, and the root cause of the mysterious charges.

A guide on reducing the size of an oversized Git repository, using the Blowfish Hugo theme as a case study. Learn best practices for maintaining a lean repo and its history.

A data-driven exploration of how political lean correlates with quality of life metrics across the United States.